March 2009. Jerry Golden quotes the article of Ted Belman (below) and says:
“This article expresses my thoughts as well and I could not improve on what
he has said here. This is not to say that the scenario expressed here has
to be perfect.
To say to you that Israel and the whole world is in deep trouble would be
preaching to the choir for applauds. There are two things that the Islamic
Arabs need to do in order to move their agenda forward, they must neutralize
or destroy the US and destroy Israel. I believe they will try to do both at
the same time.
It is also obvious to me that the planned destruction of the
is not only underway but well on its way. It is also obvious that most of
is being brought under Islamic submission as anti-Semitism is spreading like
I could add or say many things in addition to what Mr. Belman has written
below but I think he has covered the bases very well. I recommend that you
read every word, and give some thought about the terrible burden the rest of
the world is putting on the little nation of Israel to do their dirty work.
One thing is certain we don’t have long to wait now. Right now would be a
great time for you to get your priorities in order.
PICK YOUR POISON, ISRAEL
By Ted Belman
Israel must decide whether to attack
Iran or not and whether to accept the Saudi Plan or not. In both cases
Israel has to pick her poison.
THE IRANIAN THREAT
Israel has already decided to attack
Iran with the intention of setting back the nuclear program by a few years.
Likud, Kadima and Labour seem to be in agreement.
Such an attack will be very
difficult, giving the distance to Iran and the lack of any agreement to
traverse anyone’s airspace. Israel originally hoped to get American approval
to fly through Iraq’s air space. But now that the US has signed an Agreement
with Iraq giving them control of the airspace, this is not an option. But
all is not lost. Should Israel violate Iraq’s airspace, Iraq has no means to
prevent such incursion. They have no air force and no missile system to
oppose it. I am not aware of any term of the agreement which would obligate
the US to act on their behalf.
Israel will have to decide whether
to include any nuclear bombs to ensure greater destruction and whether to
attack the Revolutionary Guards, the parliament and the home of the Mullahs.
They way I see it, in for a penny, in for a pound. In either case the
Iranian response will be the same. It would be great if Israel could capture
an airport to enable Israel to land troops to be used to finish off certain
facilities. I do not know if this is militarily possible. but if it is,
Israel is no doubt considering it.
No doubt Israel would also bomb
Kharg Island which is Iran’s largest oil loading terminal accounting for
most of its oil exports and revenue.
The response will sure result in
many Jewish, Israeli and American targets being attacked all over the world.
Edwin Black in his article
Iran-Israel nuclear endgame is now much closer,”
“THE CONSEQUENCES for this
confrontation are apocalyptic because Iran ’s full partner in this
enterprise is Russia . The Russian company Atomstroiexport has provided most
if not all of the nuclear material for the 1,000 megawatt Bushehr reactor,
along with thousands of technicians to service and operate it.
Following its invasion of Georgia,
Moscow forged ahead with final delivery plans for the S-300 advanced air
defense system which can track scores of IAF airborne intruders
simultaneously, whether low-level drones or high-altitude missiles, and
shoot them down. But the S-300, the linchpin of Iran’s defense against
Israel, will not be fully operational for several months, creating a narrow
window for Israel to act. Indeed, Russia has just announced a pause in
missile deliveries for the system in fear that it will accelerate an Israeli
Iran, of course, has repeatedly
threatened to counter any such attack by closing the Strait of Hormuz, as
well as launching missiles against the Ras Tanura Gulf oil terminal and
bombarding the indispensable Saudi oil facility at Abqaiq which is
responsible for some 65 percent of Saudi production. Any one of these
military options, let alone all three, would immediately shut off 40% of all
seaborne oil, 18% of global oil, and some 20% of America’s daily
Once the attack begins, Israel will
be inundated with rockets from Lebanon, Gaza and probably Syria. It will
thus use the planes not active in the Iranian attack to devastate these
locations. A substantial mobilization is not out of the question as land
forces will probably be ordered into Gaza and Lebanon.
WORLD OPINION AND
PRESSURE WILL BE IGNORED.
Israel will be considered the
aggressor and most of the world community will not accept that Israel was
acting in self-defense. The hatred of Israel and Jews will know no bounds
except that privately many will be pleased.
Such a war will deplete Israel’s
munitions and it will be in need of resupply. Will America stand by and
refuse to resupply Israel as she has done in the past, notably in the Yom
Kippur War. At that time Kissinger withheld supplies in order to make Israel
more compliant in the peace process to follow. The same thinking would apply
here. To make matters worse, Egypt, with American connivance, might mass
troops on its borders if not actually invade.
On the other hand, if Israel
declines to preempt and waits to be attacked first as she did in the Yom
Kipper War, she will be at a decided disadvantage except in the PR war. If
the attack on Israel takes the form of a dirty nuclear bomb or the use of
chemical or biology weapons, Israel will suffer enormous losses thereby
diminishing her ability to respond to the provocation.
To my mind, Israel must decide how
likely such an attack is and act accordingly. It may be that Iran prefers to
bleed Israel by a thousand cuts, or should I say rockets, rather than invite
massive retaliation. Israel chose to endure eight years of sporadic rocket
attacks from Gaza as the lesser evil to invading Gaza. Israel could likewise
decide if future rocket attacks are endurable.
Either way, its poison.
THE “PEACE PROCESS”
Here too, Israel must decide to
accept the Saudi Plan or reject it
Kadima and Labour favour the former,
though the last government tried to get the PA to accept a return of 93% of
the land and forgo the right of return but there was no takers. Thus only
the Saudi Plan with a return to the armistice lines and a “just solution to
the refugee problem” will suffice to get a deal. This would involve the
removal of over 100,000 Jews from Judea and Samaria.
The Saudi Plan also requires Israel
to return the Golan to Syria.
Only after all this transpires will
the Arab world discuss what they meant by their offer of “normalization.”
Also Iran remains an obstacle to
such a deal. Its proxy, Hamas will never agree to a permanent peace with
Israel or to recognized borders for Israel. The Quartet is now working to
bring Hamas into the PA ostensibly as a junior partner. In reality Hamas
The only thing Israel will get from
such capitulation is borders which are recognized by the world even if not
by Hamas and Iran. Such recognition though isn’t necessarily dependable. The
world recognized the borders of Palestine, as it then was, in the Palestine
Mandate. Such recognition was soon abandoned. The world also accepted the
requirement for “secure” borders in Resolution 242 otherwise known as
“defensible borders” but who but Netanyahu talks about that now.
But we are not done yet. Israel will
be demanding that Palestine be demilitarized. Fat chance. She is currently
demanding that Hamas not be allowed to rearm. Hamas has made it clear that
it will never give up its right to do so. So it is safe to say that Israel
will not be able to keep the West Bank demilitarized. Even if the PA would
agree to it, the PA has never kept an agreement to date. So much for the
value of a signed piece of paper.
The agreement will provide for a
corridor connecting the West Bank with Gaza. Aside from the security risk
this represents, it would allow for Gazans to move from Gaza to the West
Bank thereby transferring the Gaza radicalism and population density to the
West Bank. In addition, perhaps a million refugees from refugee camps in the
surrounding countries will return to the new State of Palestine. How can the
West Bank with its limited land and water resources sustain such a
population? How can such a state be viable? This instability will be used as
a tool to further destroy Israel.
Israel will also want the PA to
agree that Palestine will not enter into defense treaties with other Arab
countries. This they will not agree to.
After all is said and done, what is
to stop rockets from raining down on Israel from the West Bank. Nothing.
Who is to say that the Arabs will
ever make peace with Israel? The Muslims are taking over Europe through
intimidation made easier due to liberalism. The Seeds of Liberalism is one
of the many articles attesting to this. In fifty years there will be nothing
left of the Europe that we once knew. So why should the Arabs accept any
less a fate for Israel.
It is for these reasons that
Netanyahu is putting his hopes on economic development as a means to
stabilize the West Bank. He is thinking of giving the Palestinians limited
sovereignty, otherwise known as autonomy, rather than full sovereignty. But
the Palestinians have rejected economic development time and time again.
They prefer to eradicate the “occupation” which includes Israel. They will
be aided and abetted in this project by Israel’s Arab fifth column.
The Obama administration has
accepted the idea of economic development but not as a substitute for
diplomatic progress. It is careful to always say it wants a secure Israel to
result. But few believe that capitulation by Israel will make it more
Israel could also decide to follow
the National Union’s plan to annex Judea and Samaria together with its 1.4
million Arabs. In the expanded Israel, Jews would outnumber Arabs by a ratio
of 2:1 Citizenship would be available to these Arabs, over an extended
period, say 15 years, giving time for detoxification, subject to certain
prerequisites. These include loyalty oaths, knowledge of Hebrew, national
service and so on. Of course all terrorists and their huggers would have to
Prior to the annexation, Israel
would pass a constitution declaring Israel to be a Jewish state. Such
constitution would perhaps provide for two houses of government and would
require super majorities to pass any changes to fundamental things.
The local governments would be given
as much responsibility or autonomy as they can responsibly handle. There
would be zero tolerance for incitement. Everyone would be equal before the
law. In fact this was what was envisioned by the League of Nations in the
Palestinian Mandate passed in 1922 which gave the Palestinians civil and
religious right but not political rights.
Very few refugees would be permitted
to return to the expanded Israel. Gazans would be left high and dry to fend
It would be best if Israel could get
American approval to such a plan but that is unlikely. So Israel would have
to go it alone. Just as she annexed Jerusalem without international
approval, she could annex Judea and Samaria. This is simply done by
extending Israeli law to these territories in replacement of occupation law.
The word “annexation” need not come up. The “occupation” would then come to
Oslo and the peace process have
given the Palestinians hope of destroying Israel and this hope has fuelled
the resistance. Kill the hope, you kill the resistance. As Palestinian
nationalism dies, the fifth column in Israel will also evaporate. Then
Israel can focus on creating a just society.
If Israel chooses this path she will
have to contend with an irate world and probably sanctions. But in time
things will settle down. As more and more Arabs earn citizenship, the
opposition to the annexation will diminish.
As much as Israelis would love to
include Judea and Samaria within their borders, they are very reluctant to
include another 1.4 million Arabs within her borders. Given their experience
with Arabs consisting of 20% of the current population and the experience of
European countries in contending with as little as 10% Muslim minority, they
are very reluctant to contend with a 33% Arab minority. There is much
opposition to doing so. In fact Yisrael Beiteinu wants to give land away
together with its Arab inhabitants in order to reduce the 20% minority of
Arabs. Israel must chose between more land and a higher minority percentage
or less land and a lower percentage. In the former case there would be no
need to negotiate borders or divide Jerusalem. In the latter case Israel
would be enabling a hostile Arab state to be created looming over the
Either way, Israel, pick your